Central News Agency (CNA), Taipei, June 19 — As the three-day Dragon Boat Festival holiday begins, meteorologist Wu Der-rong forecasts a period of intensifying heat from now through June 24, with peak temperatures across Taiwan expected to exceed 38°C. A tropical disturbance is projected to develop east of the Philippines around June 20-21, with the potential to strengthen into a typhoon.
The Central Weather Administration (CWA) reported that the combination of southwesterly winds and subsidence will lead to high temperatures, with the potential for foehn winds in Taitung County. A heat advisory (orange alert) has been issued for Hualien County, where temperatures could reach 36°C for consecutive days. Additionally, a yellow alert for temperatures exceeding 36°C has been issued for Taipei, New Taipei, Taichung, Changchun, Nantou, Yunlin, Chiayi City/County, Tainan, Kaohsiung, Pingtung, and Taitung.
Wu Der-rong, an adjunct associate professor in the Department of Atmospheric Sciences at National Central University, noted in his column that current European models (ECMWF) indicate the strengthening of the Pacific high-pressure ridge. From now until June 24, weather conditions will resemble mid-summer, with occasional isolated afternoon showers in mountainous regions.
Regarding the outlook for June 25-28, Wu indicated that a weather front is expected to oscillate between central China and the northern seas of Taiwan. Combined with a tropical system potentially turning north near the Ryukyu Islands, atmospheric instability in Taiwan is expected to increase. However, significant variations in international weather models suggest that these forecasts remain subject to change.
Finally, Wu noted that while the tropical disturbance east of the Philippines may develop into a typhoon, current ensemble models show it likely turning northeast near the Ryukyu Islands. Due to the high uncertainty in model trajectory adjustments, continuous monitoring is advised.
FACT BOX
- Source: CNA (Central News Agency)
- Category: 気象情報