According to the latest 'Global Top 20 EMS and ODM 2026' forecast report, the global electronics manufacturing landscape is being reshaped by rising demand for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. The ability of hardware manufacturers with system integration capabilities to determine the pace of future AI infrastructure deployment is becoming increasingly critical.

AI and cloud infrastructure revenue surpasses consumer electronics for the first time

Data shows that the combined revenue of the world's top 20 contract manufacturers is expected to exceed $1.10 trillion in 2026, with a total workforce of 3.3 million. Revenue from AI and data center-related activities is projected to surpass $340 billion, accounting for approximately 31% of total revenue. This means that for every three dollars earned in contract manufacturing, nearly one dollar comes from AI infrastructure.

This figure reflects a 'golden crossover' in industry structure. For the first time, the revenue share from AI and cloud infrastructure has surpassed that of traditional consumer electronics (28%), becoming the largest single source of revenue in the sector.

Researchers analyze that the era dominated by smartphones and PCs in supply chain production planning is shifting. Today, the release cadence of NVIDIA's GPUs, capital expenditure plans of cloud service providers (CSPs), and the progress of data center construction have become the primary drivers determining capacity allocation among leading contract manufacturers.

Taiwan and mainland Chinese firms dominate over 80% of the market

In terms of regional revenue distribution, Taiwanese firms are expected to contribute approximately 61% of the share, while mainland Chinese firms contribute about 23%, together accounting for nearly 84%—highlighting an extremely high level of manufacturing concentration.

Among the top ten companies, seven are based in Taiwan: Foxconn (estimated revenue over $210 billion), Wistron (over $80 billion), Pegatron (over $75 billion, with a 45% annual growth rate—one of the fastest among the top 20), Compal, Inventec, Quanta, and Universal Scientific Industrial (USI).

Notably, Taiwan's ODM manufacturers have deep collaborative ties with the U.S. 'Big Four' CSPs (Meta, Google, Microsoft, Amazon AWS), securing critical order allocation in areas such as server system integration and full-rack construction.

In contrast, mainland Chinese firms demonstrate competitive advantages through vertical integration. Luxshare Precision (estimated revenue over $60 billion), BYD Electronic (over $24 billion), GoerTek, Huaqin Technology, and Longcheer Technology have broad business coverage spanning smartphones, automotive electronics, and precision mechanical components.

As AI applications expand into edge computing scenarios such as smart vehicles and robotics, the market expects the vertical integration strengths of Chinese firms to be further amplified. North American players, represented by Jabil and Flex, primarily focus on high-value sectors with high entry barriers, such as aerospace, medical, and industrial systems.

Value chain evolution and geopolitical and systems engineering challenges

The report highlights that the contract manufacturing industry's value chain is shifting from 'single-board assembly' to full-rack integration of 'servers, racks, and infrastructure.' However, the extreme concentration—Taiwan and mainland China accounting for 84% of revenue—is a double-edged sword. Geopolitical risks are prompting manufacturers and clients to accelerate diversification and nearshoring/multi-sourcing strategies.

Moreover, the leap in AI chip performance poses severe challenges for hardware manufacturers. Issues such as the 'memory wall' (energy consumption and latency caused by frequent data movement between CPU and GPU), precision cooling, and power management are now cascading down to the manufacturing level.

In the future, leading manufacturers with full-stack system integration capabilities—including full-rack liquid cooling solutions, high-efficiency power delivery, and high-speed interconnects—will be able to convert complexity into pricing power. In contrast, manufacturers lacking these capabilities may face further margin compression.

FACT BOX

  • Source: PR Times
  • Category: Survey
  • Organizations: NVIDIA / Meta / Google