The meteorological fan page 'Taiwan Typhoon Forum | Weather Emergency' warns that Typhoon Bavi has a wind radius of 380 kilometers, with an exceptionally wide circulation area. According to the current forecast track, nearly all of Taiwan will enter the storm zone. Starting from Friday (10th) daytime, regions across Taiwan will gradually be affected by outer circulation. Saturday (11th) is expected to be the period of most intense wind and rain. The impact on Taiwan will gradually subside only after the typhoon rapidly moves into China on Sunday (12th).
Bavi is moving northwest, with the highest probability of its center passing near the northeastern coastal waters.
According to the Central Weather Administration's current path forecast, Bavi is being guided by the Pacific high-pressure system and continues moving northwest. The typhoon's center is expected to pass through the waters near Yilan to northern Taiwan. The fan page analyzes that, based on current data, the highest probability is for the typhoon center to pass through the sea near the northeastern tip of Taiwan. Although Bavi may gradually weaken as it approaches Taiwan, it is expected to maintain strength between the upper limit of a moderate typhoon and the lower limit of a severe typhoon, so no region should take it lightly.
Northern Taiwan faces direct impact! Central, southern regions, and Penghu to experience peak winds on Saturday, with gusts possibly starting at level 10
Northern Taiwan is expected to be the most significantly affected region. The fan page states that regardless of whether the typhoon center ultimately makes landfall, the typhoon's core passing over northern Taiwan has almost become a certain trend. Starting from Friday (10th) daytime, outer circulation will first bring intermittent wind and rain to the north, with wind and rain gradually intensifying at night. Saturday (11th) could be entirely under the influence of strong winds and heavy rain. Northern mountainous areas near the Xueshan Range, affected by orographic uplift, may experience considerable cumulative rainfall.
The plains of central and southern Taiwan and the Penghu region must also guard against strong winds. Due to Bavi's wide circulation, even with the Central Mountain Range blocking, airflow may bypass both ends of Taiwan and blow toward the western regions. Starting from Friday (10th) daytime, central, southern Taiwan, and Penghu will see noticeable strong gusts, with wind strength peaking on Saturday (11th). Gusts are expected to start from level 10, and the Hengchun Peninsula may experience even stronger wind and rain due to terrain effects.
Central and southern regions turn rainy late Friday night, mountainous areas see significantly stronger rain on Saturday
Regarding rainfall, central and southern lowlands are expected to see intermittent wind and rain starting late Friday night (10th). Initially, mountainous areas in central and southern Taiwan may have less obvious rainfall due to shielding by the Central Mountain Range. However, on Saturday (11th), after the typhoon center passes the northern tip of Taiwan and wind direction changes, these mountainous areas will become windward, and rainfall will significantly intensify.
Yilan and northern Hualien face strongest wind and rain on Saturday, potential direct eyewall impact if landfall occurs
In eastern Taiwan, Yilan and northern Hualien will be most affected. From Friday (10th), wind and rain will intensify into the night, possibly peaking on Saturday (11th) daytime. The fan page warns that if the typhoon ultimately makes landfall, it is likely to occur in the Yilan area. If the region suffers a direct eyewall impact, it could experience extreme winds and torrential rain, and residents must remain fully alert.
Huatung Valley beware of extreme high-temperature foehn winds, Taitung coastal areas see increasing wind and rain in the afternoon
Southern Hualien and Taitung, blocked by the Central Mountain Range, will initially experience relatively smaller wind and rain. However, on Saturday (11th) morning, the Huatung Valley must be particularly cautious of extreme high-temperature foehn winds. In the afternoon, as wind direction shifts to southerly, wind and rain along the Taitung coast will gradually intensify.
Matsu may face direct core impact over the weekend, Kinmen sees relatively smaller wind and rain
For offshore islands, Matsu may be directly affected by the typhoon's core over the weekend and must strictly guard against strong winds and heavy rain. Kinmen, being farther from the typhoon's predicted path, will experience relatively smaller overall impacts.
FACT BOX
- Source: PR Times
- Category: News