Time When Typhoon Bavi Will Be Closest to Taiwan Revealed! Updated Typhoon Path and Storm Radius Forecast Released

At 11:30 a.m. today (August 10), Lin Bo-Dong, head of the Forecast Division at the Central Weather Bureau, continued to issue marine and land warnings for Typhoon Bavi. The intense typhoon is currently centered about 670 km east of Eluanbi, moving northwest at 26 km/h. Its central pressure is 940 hPa, with maximum sustained winds near the center reaching 45 m/s. The average radius of the 7-level wind zone remains at 380 km.

Lin Bo-Dong stated that Typhoon Bavi is expected to come closest to Taiwan from the afternoon to evening of tomorrow (August 11), passing just 120 km from the northern coastline. Due to a slightly northward shift in the projected path, the storm radius may shrink to 350 km, potentially excluding southern regions from the warning zone. Northern Taiwan and Yilan will face the most severe wind and rain conditions starting tonight.

According to Lin, Typhoon Bavi will reach waters about 220 km northeast of Taiwan by 11 a.m. tomorrow, with the closest approach occurring in the afternoon and evening. As the storm’s structure will channel winds into the Taipei Basin via the Tamsui River estuary, this period will see the strongest gusts in Taipei, possibly reaching 9 to 11 on the Beaufort scale. The northern coast could experience gusts up to level 12.

Lin noted that Bavi may slightly weaken as it approaches Taiwan, with the storm radius potentially shrinking to 350 km. Due to the northward path adjustment, the storm’s impact may not cover the entire island, and southern areas may not be included in the warning zone. Coastal areas are already experiencing 7 to 8 Beaufort-level gusts today. Western coastal areas and the northern coast will see gusts intensify to 9–10 from tonight, with inland areas of New Taipei City, Keelung City, and Pingtung County expected to experience 10-level gusts by tomorrow morning.

Regarding rainfall, Lin explained that spiral rainbands are gradually approaching Taiwan, with rain already occurring in Taipei, Keelung, Taoyuan, and Kaohsiung. As the typhoon draws closer, the period from tonight through tomorrow morning will see the most significant rainfall. Northern Taiwan, Yilan, and central mountainous areas may experience localized torrential or extremely heavy rain, while other regions could see localized heavy rain. Conditions are expected to gradually ease by tomorrow night. Mountainous areas in the south may also see afternoon rainfall.

For sea conditions, Lin reported that wave heights of 7 to 9 meters have already been observed in Chenggong, Taitung, and Lanyu. Northern seas, Yilan, Hualien, Matsu, and Dongsha Island are seeing waves of 2 to 3 meters. By tomorrow evening, all sea areas will experience waves of 2 to 4 meters, with the northern Taiwan Strait, northern, and eastern waters seeing waves of 4 to 7 meters. In areas near the typhoon’s center, waves could reach up to 10 meters. The public is strongly advised not to engage in any coastal activities.