Tomorrow's Weather / Typhoon 'Noul' May Form as Early as Tomorrow! Latest Path Forecast Shows '6 Consecutive Days of Thunderstorms' – Full Weekly Outlook

The Central Weather Administration announced that a tropical disturbance located east of the Philippines has intensified into a tropical depression as of this afternoon (22nd). The agency forecasts that the depression will most likely strengthen into this year's new typhoon, 'Noul,' between late tomorrow (23rd) and the 24th, and a marine typhoon warning may be issued immediately upon formation.

The developing typhoon is expected to rapidly pass through the Bashi Strait on the 24th and 25th, bringing significant heavy rainfall to eastern and southern Taiwan via its outer circulation. Residents are strongly advised to prepare for typhoon impacts in advance.

Typhoon 'Noul' could form as early as late tomorrow night, with a marine warning not ruled out

(Image: Central Weather Administration)

According to the latest data from the Central Weather Administration, as of 2 p.m. today, the center of the tropical depression was located about 1,500 km southeast of Eluanbi, moving northwest at 26 km/h. The central pressure is 1,006 hPa, with maximum sustained winds near the center at 12 m/s. The system is expected to continue strengthening into a mild typhoon.

Cheng Chieh-jen stated that the tropical depression has the highest chance of intensifying into Typhoon 'Noul' between late tomorrow (23rd) and the 24th. If it forms during daytime, a warning may not be issued immediately. However, if it forms as predicted during the night with no change in track, a marine typhoon warning could be issued simultaneously upon formation.

Currently, the storm's wind radius is about 150 km, and it is moving very quickly through the Bashi Strait (approximately 25 km/h). Although the main wind field will not make direct landfall in Taiwan, its extensive outer circulation will bring heavy rainfall to the eastern and southern regions.

Typhoon 'Noul' Impact Timeline! Moisture arrives from the evening of the 24th; Hualien, Taitung, and Hengchun face heavy to torrential rain on the 25th

1. Tomorrow (23rd): Hot and stable weather, thunderstorms in mountainous areas

Tomorrow, weather across Taiwan will remain relatively stable, but extreme heat above 36°C is expected in the Taipei Basin, mountainous areas of central and southern Taiwan, and the Huatung Valley. Isolated short-lived thunderstorms may occur in northern Taoyuan, Nantou, south of Yunlin, and mountainous regions in the afternoon, with heavy rain possible in mountainous areas.

2. 24th to 25th (closest approach, most intense rainfall):

The developing typhoon is expected to pass within 300 to 400 km of Eluanbi. Rainfall will intensify in the Hualien-Taitung region and Hengchun Peninsula from the evening of the 24th. The 25th will see the most significant rainfall, with a high chance of localized heavy to torrential rain in Hualien, Taitung, and the Hengchun Peninsula. Southern Taiwan will also experience localized heavy rain, while northern Taipei, northeastern areas, and mountainous regions will see brief showers or thunderstorms.

Due to subsidence from the typhoon's outer circulation, areas from southern Taoyuan to central Taiwan will be on the leeward side, where high temperatures may occur over the weekend. Significant long-period swells are expected along the east coast, southwest coast, Hengchun Peninsula, and Penghu. Beach activities should be avoided.

3. 26th to 28th (typhoon moves away, residual moisture lingers):

The typhoon will gradually move away toward Guangdong, but with a northward shift of southern cloud systems, isolated short-lived showers or thunderstorms will persist in eastern and southern Taiwan and the Hengchun Peninsula. Scattered showers may occur along the northern Keelung coast and northeastern Taiwan, while other areas will be mostly cloudy with isolated afternoon thunderstorms.

(Chart: Central Weather Administration)

(Chart: Central Weather Administration)