Weather Forecast: Typhoon Dolphin Remains Large and Strong! Latest Path Predicts 'Four Consecutive Days of Heavy Rain Across Taiwan,' Clearing Up on This Day

Under the influence of an intensifying Pacific high-pressure system, Taiwan continues to experience summer-like hot weather. However, Typhoon Dolphin—one of this year’s strongest storms—has drawn significant attention. Meteorological experts note that although Dolphin has passed its peak and is gradually weakening, it still maintains a 'large and strong' structure, moving toward the Ryukyu Islands. While the probability of a direct landfall on northern Taiwan is only about 10%, starting Friday, its outer circulation will significantly increase rainfall chances across the entire island, prompting citizens to closely monitor the latest weather updates.

Pacific High Pressure Brings Heatwave – Temperatures Soar to 37°C

Meteorologist Dr. Wu Derong, writing in the 'Foundation for Meteorological Applications' column, stated that starting today (1st), the Pacific high pressure is gradually strengthening, leading to a stable atmospheric environment. Most areas will see mostly sunny to partly cloudy and hot conditions. Maximum temperatures are forecasted at 24–37°C in the north and 22–36°C in central, southern, and eastern regions, requiring sun protection and heatstroke prevention measures. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms may develop over southern areas and mountainous regions due to localized convection.

Forecasts indicate that from tomorrow through next Wednesday (2nd to 5th), Taiwan will remain under the control of the Pacific high pressure, maintaining typical scorching summer weather, with only occasional scattered rains in mountainous areas during the afternoons. On Thursday (6th), northeasterly winds on the windward side will bring brief showers to the northern coastal areas of Keelung and northern mountainous zones. The chance of isolated afternoon thunderstorms will also rise in central and southern regions.

Former 'King of Winds' Dolphin Weakens Slowly but Still 'Large and Strong'

Regarding the latest movement of Typhoon Dolphin, observations from the Central Weather Administration show it is moving northwest at 19 km/h. Dr. Wu analyzed that Dolphin previously reached average wind speeds of 60 m/s, ranking alongside Bavi and Sinlaku as one of the strongest 'kings of wind' this year. Although past its peak and gradually losing strength, its overall circulation remains 'large and strong'.

According to the latest 10-day simulation from the European AI model, the ensemble mean track of Dolphin is projected to pass between Japan's Ryukyu Islands and Kyushu, enter the East China Sea, and make landfall in mainland China. The storm's gale-force winds have the highest probability of impacting the Ryukyu region. For Taiwan, the likelihood of a direct hit on northern land areas is approximately 10%.

Outer Circulation Begins Affecting Taiwan from Friday – Rain Starts in the North, Spreading Southward

Notably, the typhoon's outer circulation will still impact Taiwan’s weather. Model simulations suggest that from Friday to Sunday (7th to 10th), Dolphin’s circulation is expected to pass over northern waters near Taiwan. As its outer bands graze the area, northern regions will see rain first, with precipitation gradually expanding to central and southern areas.

Meteorological experts warn that due to ongoing uncertainties in the typhoon’s path and intensity, continuous monitoring of updated forecasts and developments over the coming days is essential.

Future Rainfall Trends (Image: Provided by CWA)