Weather Forecast: Will Work and School Be Suspended Tomorrow? Latest Path of Typhoon Dolphin Revealed! 6 Counties/Cities Face Over 50% Landfall Risk, Closest Approach to Taiwan on This Date

Tropical Storm Dolphin is currently moving in a northwest to westward direction. The Central Weather Administration assesses that a marine typhoon warning could be issued as early as August 7. Decisions on whether to suspend work and classes on Friday must await individual announcements from local governments.

Risk of Typhoon Dolphin's gale-force winds making landfall rises! Six counties/cities exceed 50% probability

According to the latest 120-hour gale-force wind impact probability data, six counties/cities have surpassed a 50% threshold. Lienchiang County leads with 67%, followed by Keelung City at 63%, Taipei City at 57%, New Taipei City at 56%, Taoyuan City at 54%, and Yilan County exactly at 50%. All other counties/cities remain below 50%.

This probability indicates the likelihood of a location entering the typhoon's seven-level wind zone (approximately 14 m/s) within the next five days. For example, an 80% value means that in about 80 out of 100 similar forecast tracks made by the Administration over the past five years, the area experienced seven-level winds. This data does not equate to suspension criteria; final decisions rest with individual county and city governments.

When will Typhoon Dolphin be closest to Taiwan? Latest track and rainfall timing revealed

Current projections suggest Dolphin will pass near the Ryukyu Islands around August 7, then move along the northern waters of Taiwan from August 8 to 10 before approaching the coastal region of Zhejiang Province, China. As it reaches this area, its forward speed may slow, and its path could gradually shift northward. After passing the Ryukyus, both intensity and gale radius may decrease, but a marine warning remains possible.

Weather-wise, starting the evening of August 6 through August 7, outer cloud bands will gradually affect Taiwan. Scattered showers are expected in western regions, with more significant rainfall likely along the coastal areas of central and southern Taiwan during the early morning to mid-morning hours.

Weekly weather outlook: Rain intensifies from Father's Day onward! Northern mountainous areas should prepare for localized heavy rains

August 8 to 10 marks the period when the typhoon is relatively closest to Taiwan. Increased rainfall chances are expected in Matsu, northern and central mountainous areas, with some regions facing downpours and northern mountainous zones potentially seeing torrential rain. Isolated thunderstorms may also occur in southern, northeastern, and other mountainous regions.

Hualien and Taitung will mostly experience cloudy or sunny skies with scattered, sporadic rainfall. However, residents should remain vigilant against foehn winds, with maximum temperatures possibly exceeding 36 degrees Celsius in certain areas.