Meteorological expert Wu De-rong issued a new warning today (24th), stating that due to a northward-moving low-pressure system, Taiwan must remain on high alert for consecutive days of 'disaster-causing heavy rainfall' from today through tomorrow (24th–25th). Additionally, Typhoon No. 18, 'Saudel,' is expected to approach the waters near northern Taiwan as a moderate typhoon, with its storm zone likely sweeping across most of Taiwan from October 27 to 28. Although the probability of the typhoon's center making direct landfall in Taiwan has decreased, it cannot be completely ruled out, and the public is urged to prepare for typhoon precautions in advance.
Beware of 'Disaster-Level Heavy Rain' Over the Next Two Days! Strong Convection Brings Lightning and Gusty Winds
In his column 'Leak the Heavens Classroom,' meteorologist Wu De-rong stated that the latest European model simulations show a low-pressure belt slowly moving northward, with strong southwesterly winds carrying vast amounts of moisture across Taiwan. Today, the main impact will be on the southwestern and southeastern regions, while tomorrow the southwestern region will be most affected. Strong convection may develop intermittently or move into the area, often expanding afternoon rainfall to other regions.
Residents across all areas must closely monitor severe weather such as lightning, strong gusts, and sudden heavy downpours brought by strong convection, and remain highly vigilant against 'disaster-causing' rainfall that could trigger landslides, rockfalls in mountainous areas, and flooding in low-lying regions due to continuous rain.
Wu De-rong stated that weather conditions will slightly improve on the 26th, with daytime temperatures rising, although brief showers may still occur in localized areas.
Moderate Typhoon Saudel's Storm Zone to Sweep Across Taiwan in Two Days! Latest Path and Movement Revealed
Latest projected path of Typhoon Saudel. (Image: CWA)
Regarding the latest movement of Typhoon Saudel, Wu De-rong analyzed that the typhoon is currently located over the sea northwest of Guam, moving in a northwest-west direction, and is expected to shift westward after passing near the Ryukyu Islands on the 26th.
The latest European ensemble model shows that Saudel's center will enter the waters near northern Taiwan on October 27–28, with the storm zone expected to sweep across most of Taiwan and make landfall in Fujian Province, China, on the evening of the 28th. The current forecast indicates a reduced chance of direct landfall in Taiwan, but it cannot be entirely ruled out. Since wind and rain distribution depends closely on the typhoon's actual path, forecast models are still undergoing continuous adjustments.
Wu De-rong further noted that the current atmospheric environment over the northwestern Pacific is highly complex. In addition to Typhoon Saudel, Tropical Depression TD23 east of the Philippines is moving counterclockwise along a 'broad low-pressure circulation.' Meanwhile, another tropical depression, TD24, has formed in the central Taiwan Strait and is slowly moving northwestward. Overall, weather uncertainty remains extremely high, and the public is urged to closely monitor the latest typhoon alerts and special warnings issued by the Central Weather Administration.
FACT BOX
- Source: PR Times
- Category: News