Tomorrow's Weather / Typhoon No. 13 'Dolphin' Could Become 'Another Large and Powerful Storm, Challenging for the Title of Strongest'! Will Its Path Affect Taiwan? Experts Reveal Two Scenarios

According to the Central Weather Bureau, a tropical depression originally located far east of Guam developed into a tropical storm at 2:00 PM today (27th) and was designated as the 13th typhoon of the year (international name: DOLPHIN, Chinese name: White Dolphin). The system is expected to move westward, shifting toward the northwest in the coming days.

The meteorological fan page 'Observing Weather and Checking Conditions' analyzed that due to continuously weakening wind shear and excellent sea-atmosphere conditions, Typhoon Dolphin may rapidly expand in structure and significantly intensify after formation. It could potentially reach the intensity of a severe typhoon, possibly becoming one of the strongest systems of the year in terms of wind speed.

There is significant divergence among international forecast models regarding the typhoon’s future trajectory. One group of models suggests the storm will turn northward after breaking through a weakness in the subtropical high-pressure system. Another group predicts it may continue moving westward at a relatively high latitude.

If the typhoon follows a high-latitude westward path, it could gradually approach the waters near Japan or the Ryukyu Islands. However, experts emphasize that it is meteorologically challenging for a large, high-intensity typhoon to maintain such a westward track at high latitudes over an extended period. Therefore, the future path remains highly uncertain.

Will Typhoon Dolphin affect Taiwan? What does the Central Weather Bureau say?

The Central Weather Bureau stated that after formation, the system is expected to continue strengthening and expanding. Its movement will be guided by the Pacific high-pressure system, generally heading westward to northwest-west, possibly approaching the waters east of Japan during August.

Regarding public concerns about typhoon preparedness, both the Central Weather Bureau and experts noted that the system is currently approximately 6,200 kilometers away from Taiwan. Based on current forecast data, the probability of a direct impact on Taiwan is low, and there is no immediate threat. The public is advised not to panic. However, changes in the typhoon’s path and intensity must continue to be closely monitored.