Typhoon Dolphin is currently located in the open ocean east of Taiwan, over 4,000 km away, so it has no immediate direct impact on Taiwan's weather. However, its future track remains influenced by the Pacific high-pressure system and other systems within the low-pressure zone. The Central Weather Administration warns that the typhoon's movement must still be closely monitored next week.

According to observations by the Central Weather Administration, at 2:00 PM on the 31st, Typhoon Dolphin's center was located at 18.6 degrees north latitude and 160.9 degrees east longitude, moving northwest at 18 km/h. The central pressure is 895 hPa, with maximum sustained winds near the center reaching 60 m/s and gusts up to 75 m/s. The average radius of 7-level gale-force winds is 250 km, and the 10-level radius is 120 km. At 8:00 AM, the center was approximately 4,230 km east of Taipei.

With Dolphin over 4,000 km from Taiwan, its path still holds uncertainties. The typhoon may intensify again over the next two days.

Weather forecaster Cheng Chieh-jen from the Central Weather Administration stated that in the short term, Dolphin is being guided by the Pacific high-pressure system, likely moving gradually toward the waters south of Japan, near Okinawa and the Ryukyu Islands, with a higher probability of westward movement. However, paths toward eastern China, Japan-Korea, or northern Taiwan waters cannot be entirely ruled out.

In terms of intensity, Dolphin is expected to remain a strong typhoon over the next two days and may even intensify further. However, after two days, it will enter a less favorable environment for development, and its strength may gradually weaken, likely downgrading to a moderate typhoon next week. The storm's gale-force radius may also expand further due to the influence of the low-pressure zone.

Low-pressure system east of the Philippines may interfere with the track—Western Taiwan should watch for scattered rainfall

Cheng pointed out that another low-pressure system, TD94, is currently located east of the Philippines and is expected to move northwest-westward. Global forecast models differ on whether it will develop further. Even if it does, the chance of it directly approaching Taiwan is low, but it may merge with Dolphin or influence its track.

Regarding Taiwan's weather, on the 31st, increased moisture in the mid-to-upper atmosphere has led to muggy and cloudy conditions across the island. Western Taiwan may experience scattered localized showers, and some areas may see brief afternoon rains.

Weekend weather stabilizes—Moisture gradually increases next week

On August 1, conditions will be similar to the 31st, with scattered showers in western Taiwan and localized thunderstorms in southern regions and mountainous areas in the afternoon. From August 2 to 3, the weather will be more stable, with gradually decreasing moisture, though localized afternoon thunderstorms may still occur.

Starting August 4, large-scale moisture increases, and scattered brief showers may occur along the northern coast of Keelung. Elsewhere, skies will be mostly cloudy to sunny. From August 5 to 6, moisture increases further, bringing brief showers to northern Taiwan, while other areas remain mostly cloudy to sunny, with afternoon localized thunderstorms still possible.

August 7: Outer cloud bands approach—Yilan should watch for foehn-induced high temperatures

The Central Weather Administration forecasts that by August 7, Dolphin will reach waters near the Ryukyu Islands, and its outer cloud bands will gradually approach Taiwan. Northern Taiwan may see brief showers, while other areas remain mostly cloudy, with localized afternoon thunderstorms. However, the actual impact depends on the typhoon's subsequent track.

Over the next week, high temperatures across Taiwan will range from 32 to 35°C, with some inland areas possibly exceeding 36°C. Yilan may experience foehn winds from August 6 to 7, leading to high temperatures. The Central Weather Administration advises wearing sunscreen, staying hydrated when outdoors, and being cautious of thunderstorms when visiting mountainous areas in the afternoon.

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  • Source: PR Times
  • Category: News