"The familiar Trump is back!" Former U.S. President Donald Trump recently made new remarks on the Middle East situation, stating he would agree to cancel an attack on Iran—on the condition that "an agreement can be reached quickly." This statement immediately drew global capital market attention. Financial expert Yeh Yu-shuo stated that although Taiwan's stock index futures plunged 1,000 points last Friday night, Trump's latest message means investors "can feel slightly more at ease," and he highlighted two key indicators for monitoring Taiwan's stock market moving forward.
The return of a familiar 'market manipulator'—capital flows already showing early signals
Yeh Yu-shuo posted on Facebook that his immediate reaction upon hearing Trump's statement was to "check the market first." He joked that last week, when Trump was mostly silent, Taiwan's stock market surged over 3,000 points. Now that this unpredictable figure—the one who always keeps everyone guessing about his next words—is back in the spotlight, how could any major market event unfold without him?
Yeh pointed out that although Taiwan's market was closed due to a holiday, global trading instruments still allow observation of capital flows and risk sentiment. Current market trends show two early signs: rising prices for TSMC's U.S. traded shares and falling international crude oil prices. These two indicators suggest a positive initial market interpretation—that Trump's comments may ease Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions, slightly calming market risk aversion.
Shockwaves could still come—Yeh: Investment performance hinges on 'response strategy'
However, Yeh cautioned investors that this is only the market's initial reaction. The true drivers of future global market movements remain three variables: whether Iran is willing to accept terms, whether negotiations proceed smoothly, and whether Trump will drop more bombshells.
"We've all gained experience over the past few years," Yeh admitted. One Trump statement might reassure markets for a day, but the next could trigger a global stock market reshuffle. He emphasized that while markets are flooded with news daily, what truly determines investment performance is not the news itself, but the "strategy" investors adopt in response.
Regarding the panic after last Friday's 1,000-point plunge in Taiwan index futures, Yeh offered reassurance. He believes investors can now feel somewhat relieved after Trump's latest stance on the Middle East. As for how Taiwan's market will react when it opens on Monday, the world will have to wait and see.
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FACT BOX
- Source: PR Times
- Category: News